Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Boca Juniors to win @ 1.92 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗61% · @1.92
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.87
Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro preview and prediction
The match
Cruzeiro travel to Alberto Jose Armando in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 20 May (01:30 WAT) to face Boca Juniors. Boca Juniors are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Cruzeiro sit 2nd on 11 points.
Form guide
Boca Juniors's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Huracan 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Cruzeiro's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Palmeiras 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Cruzeiro arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for Boca Juniors and 0.5 for Cruzeiro. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Value angle: Boca Juniors to win at 1.92 – 61% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Boca Juniors or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Boca Juniors 1–0 Cruzeiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boca Juniors61%fair 1.65 · @1.92
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.30
Cruzeiro18%fair 5.56 · @4.10
1.89Expected goals
1.36Boca Juniors xG
0.53Cruzeiro xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors 1.4 – 0.5 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Boca Juniors or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruzeiro 18%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 1–0 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Alberto Jose Armando.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Always Ready1
Mirassol2
Santa Fe2
Platense1
Independiente del Valle4
Libertad Asuncion1