Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Bolívar to win @ 2.58 – our chance 41% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBolívar to win ✗41% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar preview and prediction
The match
Bolívar travel to Estadio Olimpico de la UCV in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 6 May (23:00 WAT) to face Deportivo La Guaira. Deportivo La Guaira are 4th with 3 points from 6 games, while Bolívar sit 3rd on 5 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo La Guaira's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Puerto Cabello 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Bolívar's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Fluminense 2–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 April 2026, finished Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Deportivo La Guaira and 1.1 for Bolívar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Guaira 33%, draw 25%, Bolívar 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Bolívar to win at 2.58 – 41% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 0–1 Bolívar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Guaira33%fair 2.99 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
Bolívar41%fair 2.42 · @2.58
2.14Expected goals
0.99Deportivo La Guaira xG
1.15Bolívar xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.0 – 1.1 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bolívar 41%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 0–1 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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