Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
2
Value bet: Estudiantes L.P. to win @ 2.28 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEstudiantes L.P. to win ✗49% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 6.96
Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P. preview and prediction
The match
The CONMEBOL Libertadores sees Cusco take on Estudiantes L.P. on Wednesday 6 May, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Cusco are 4th with 1 points from 6 games, while Estudiantes L.P. sit 2nd on 9 points.
Form guide
Cusco's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Independiente Medellin 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Estudiantes L.P.'s last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Platense 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Estudiantes L.P. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished Estudiantes L.P. 2–1 Cusco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.9 for Cusco and 1.3 for Estudiantes L.P.. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Estudiantes L.P. to win at 2.28 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Cusco 1–1 Estudiantes L.P.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cusco28%fair 3.52 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.10
Estudiantes L.P.49%fair 2.04 · @2.28
2.21Expected goals
0.90Cusco xG
1.31Estudiantes L.P. xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cusco 0.9 – 1.3 Estudiantes L.P. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
On our numbers Cusco have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estudiantes L.P. 49%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Our predicted score is Cusco 1–1 Estudiantes L.P., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P.?
Cusco vs Estudiantes L.P. (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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