Value bet: Korba to win @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKorba to win ✓60% · @1.95
Double chanceKorba or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.55
Korba vs Jendouba Sport preview and prediction
The match
Korba host Jendouba Sport in the Ligue 2 on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Korba are 8th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Jendouba Sport sit 9th on 12 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jendouba Sport's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Sfax Railways 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Korba and 0.5 for Jendouba Sport. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Korba 60%, draw 27%, Jendouba Sport 13%.
Safer route: Korba or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Value angle: Korba to win at 1.95 – 60% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Korba 1–0 Jendouba Sport. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Korba60%fair 1.66 · @1.95
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.88
Jendouba Sport13%fair 7.75 · @4.00
1.83Expected goals
1.37Korba xG
0.46Jendouba Sport xG
38%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: Korba 1.4 – 0.5 Jendouba Sport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Korba to win✓
60%
1.66
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Korba or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Korba / FT Korba✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.55
–
Form
Korba – last 2
LD
27 Feb
@ Kalaâ Sport
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Ksour Essef
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jendouba Sport – last 4
WLWL
22 Mar
vs Sfax Railways
2–0
W
27 Feb
@ Ksour Essef
1–2
L
21 Feb
vs Redeyef
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Stade Gabesien
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korba and Jendouba Sport.
What is the prediction for Korba vs Jendouba Sport?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Korba vs Jendouba Sport?
On our numbers Korba have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Jendouba Sport 13%.
How many goals will there be in Korba vs Jendouba Sport?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korba vs Jendouba Sport?
Our predicted score is Korba 1–0 Jendouba Sport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Korba vs Jendouba Sport?
Korba vs Jendouba Sport (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ES Hammam-Sousse2
CS Hammam-Lif1