Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Stade Gabesien to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStade Gabesien to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.31
Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 2 sees Bouchamma take on Stade Gabesien on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT). Bouchamma are 6th with 13 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Stade Gabesien sit 17th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Bouchamma's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Djelma 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Stade Gabesien's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat AS Agareb 4–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Bouchamma and 1.1 for Stade Gabesien. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 46%.
Value angle: Stade Gabesien to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Bouchamma 1–1 Stade Gabesien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bouchamma37%fair 2.72 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Stade Gabesien39%fair 2.58 · @2.75
2.25Expected goals
1.11Bouchamma xG
1.15Stade Gabesien xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Bouchamma 1.1 – 1.1 Stade Gabesien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Stade Gabesien to win✓
39%
2.58
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Stade Gabesien / FT Stade Gabesien✓
21%
4.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.31
–
Form
Bouchamma – last 3
DLW
27 Feb
@ Djelma
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
1–4
L
15 Feb
@ AS Kasserine
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Stade Gabesien – last 4
WLLW
23 Mar
@ AS Agareb
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs EO Sidi Bouzid
0–1
L
21 Feb
@ Ariana
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Jendouba Sport
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bouchamma and Stade Gabesien.
What is the prediction for Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?
On our numbers Bouchamma have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Stade Gabesien 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?
Our predicted score is Bouchamma 1–1 Stade Gabesien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien?
Bouchamma vs Stade Gabesien (Ligue 2) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
ES Hammam-Sousse2
CS Hammam-Lif1