Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.42 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓40% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Champions League sees Liverpool take on Paris Saint Germain on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Anfield. Liverpool are 8th with 9 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Paris Saint Germain sit 1st on 12 points (top of the table). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Liverpool's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Paris Saint Germain 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Paris Saint Germain's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Liverpool 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Paris Saint Germain arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Liverpool.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.8 for Liverpool and 1.8 for Paris Saint Germain. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool 40%, draw 21%, Paris Saint Germain 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Liverpool 1–2 Paris Saint Germain. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool40%fair 2.53 · @2.36
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @4.10
Paris Saint Germain40%fair 2.51 · @2.50
3.54Expected goals
1.77Liverpool xG
1.78Paris Saint Germain xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–05%
From our goals model: Liverpool 1.8 – 1.8 Paris Saint Germain expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
On our numbers Liverpool have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paris Saint Germain 40%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
Our predicted score is Liverpool 1–2 Paris Saint Germain, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain?
Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Anfield.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
