Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
UEFA Champions League · Europe · Riyadh Air Metropolitano

Atletico Madrid

WLWLW
1–2
FT

Barcelona

LWWWD

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBarcelona to win ✓61% · @1.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8% · fair 11.82

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona preview and prediction

The match

Atletico Madrid host Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday 14 April, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano. Atletico Madrid are 23rd with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Barcelona sit 5th on 9 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Atletico Madrid's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Barcelona 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.

Barcelona's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Atletico Madrid 0–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 April 2026, finished Barcelona 0–2 Atletico Madrid. Across their last 2 meetings Atletico Madrid have won 1, Barcelona 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.5 for Atletico Madrid and 2.6 for Barcelona. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 72% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Atletico Madrid20%fair 5.05 · @3.85
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.30
Barcelona61%fair 1.65 · @1.74
4.08Expected goals
1.48Atletico Madrid xG
2.60Barcelona xG
72%Both score
75%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–28%
1–37%
1–17%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%

From our goals model: Atletico Madrid 1.5 – 2.6 Barcelona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBarcelona to win ✓61%1.651.74 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓72%1.391.33
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓89%1.121.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75%1.341.30
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗55%1.811.80
Half-time resultBarcelona ahead at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Barcelona / FT Barcelona ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓8%11.82–

Form

Atletico Madrid – last 6

WLWLWD
8 Apr@ Barcelona2–0W
18 Mar@ Tottenham2–3L
10 Marvs Tottenham5–2W
3 Mar@ Barcelona0–3L
24 Febvs Club Brugge KV4–1W
18 Feb@ Club Brugge KV3–3D
2.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Barcelona – last 6

LWWWDW
8 Aprvs Atletico Madrid0–2L
22 Marvs Rayo Vallecano1–0W
18 Marvs Newcastle7–2W
15 Marvs Sevilla5–2W
10 Mar@ Newcastle1–1D
3 Marvs Atletico Madrid3–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026Barcelona v Atletico Madrid0–2
3 Mar 2026Barcelona v Atletico Madrid3–0
Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona head-to-head page →

UEFA Champions League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain4400+1512
2Real Madrid4400+612
3Arsenal4310+510
4Como4301+139
5Barcelona4301+89
6Aston Villa4301+69
7Manchester City4301+59
8Liverpool4301+49
9Club Brugge KV4301+49
10Sporting CP4301+49
11Real Betis4301+29
12Borussia Dortmund4301+29
13Bayern München4220+78
14VfB Stuttgart4211+37
15Inter4202+26
16Lask Linz4202+16
17Manchester United420206
18Galatasaray4202-16
19Fenerbahçe4121-55
20AS Roma4112+24
21Shakhtar Donetsk411204
22Viking4112-14
23Atletico Madrid4112-14
24PSV Eindhoven4112-14
25Bodo/Glimt4112-54
26FC Porto4103-13
27Napoli4103-53
28Villarreal4103-63
29AEK Athens FC4103-63
30RB Leipzig4103-63
31Sabah FA4103-63
32Feyenoord4103-73
33Lens4103-123
34Slavia Praha4013-41
35Lille4013-61
36Slovan Bratislava4004-160

More UEFA Champions League predictions

League hub
FT Liverpool0 Paris Saint Germain2 140%2.36X21%4.10240%2.50 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 68%@1.42 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

On our numbers Atletico Madrid have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Barcelona 61%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Our predicted score is Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?

Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona (UEFA Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.