Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗39% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.95
Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Al Minaa Basra take on Duhok on Wednesday 25 March, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT). Al Minaa Basra are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Duhok sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Minaa Basra's last 4: DWWL Most recently they drew with Diyala 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Duhok's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Erbil 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Al Minaa Basra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Al Minaa Basra and 1.1 for Duhok. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Minaa Basra 39%, draw 24%, Duhok 37%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Duhok. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Minaa Basra39%fair 2.59 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Duhok37%fair 2.71 · @2.60
2.17Expected goals
1.10Al Minaa Basra xG
1.07Duhok xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.1 – 1.1 Duhok expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
39%
2.59
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.95
–
Form
Al Minaa Basra – last 4
DWWL
18 Mar
vs Diyala
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Al Najaf
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Duhok – last 3
LLD
18 Mar
vs Erbil
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Gharraf
3–4
L
13 Feb
vs Mosul
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Duhok.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Duhok 37%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–1 Duhok, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok?
Al Minaa Basra vs Duhok (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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