Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · fair 1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Al-Qasim vs Naft preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Al-Qasim take on Naft on Wednesday 25 March, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Al-Qasim's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Newroz 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Naft's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Al Kahrabaa 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Naft arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Al-Qasim and 0.6 for Naft. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 44%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al-Qasim 71%, draw 21%, Naft 8%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Al-Qasim 3–0 Naft. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Qasim71%fair 1.41 · @1.17
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @6.25
Naft8%fair 12.11 · @13.00
2.66Expected goals
2.07Al-Qasim xG
0.60Naft xG
44%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Qasim 2.1 – 0.6 Naft expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Qasim to win✗
71%
1.41
1.17
Double chance
Al-Qasim or draw✗
92%
1.09
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Half-time result
Al-Qasim ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Qasim / FT Al-Qasim✗
47%
2.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Form
Al-Qasim – last 3
LLL
19 Mar
@ Newroz
1–2
L
6 Mar
@ Al Talaba
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Naft Maysan
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Naft – last 5
WDLWL
17 Mar
@ Al Kahrabaa
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Al Najaf
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Al Karkh
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Baghdad
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Zakho
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Qasim and Naft.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Al-Qasim vs Naft?
On our numbers Al-Qasim have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Naft 8%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Qasim vs Naft?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Qasim vs Naft?
Our predicted score is Al-Qasim 3–0 Naft, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al-Qasim vs Naft?
Al-Qasim vs Naft (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 25 March 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
