AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.33
7/10Rating
1.33Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAEK Larnaca to win48% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 9.27
AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia preview and prediction
The match
Apoel Nicosia travel to AEK Arena in the 1. Division on Sunday 22 March (18:00 WAT) to face AEK Larnaca. AEK Larnaca are 1st with 20 points from 9 games (top of the table), while Apoel Nicosia sit 4th on 17 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
AEK Larnaca's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Crystal Palace 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Apoel Nicosia's last 4: WLWL Most recently they beat Aris 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.5 for AEK Larnaca and 1.1 for Apoel Nicosia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: AEK Larnaca 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEK Larnaca48%fair 2.07 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Apoel Nicosia30%fair 3.34 · @3.25
2.65Expected goals
1.52AEK Larnaca xG
1.13Apoel Nicosia xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.5 – 1.1 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEK Larnaca to win
48%
2.07
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.36
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.27
–
Form
AEK Larnaca – last 6
DWDWDL
19 Mar
vs Crystal Palace
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Ethnikos Achna
2–0
W
12 Mar
@ Crystal Palace
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs Akritas
3–0
W
1 Mar
vs Olympiakos
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Omonia Aradippou
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Apoel Nicosia – last 4
WLWL
15 Mar
@ Aris
2–1
W
8 Mar
vs Anorthosis
0–2
L
22 Feb
vs Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Ethnikos Achna
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEK Larnaca and Apoel Nicosia.
What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Apoel Nicosia 30%.
How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia?
AEK Larnaca vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethnikos Achna1