Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPafos to win ✗64% · @1.85
Double chancePafos or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Pafos take on Apollon Limassol on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stelios Kyriakidis. Pafos are 6th with 16 points from 9 games (in the top half), while Apollon Limassol sit 5th on 16 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Pafos's last 3: DDW Most recently they drew with Aris 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Apollon Limassol's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with Anorthosis 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Pafos and 0.7 for Apollon Limassol. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Pafos to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Pafos 1–0 Apollon Limassol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pafos64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.35
Apollon Limassol14%fair 7.40 · @3.75
2.62Expected goals
1.88Pafos xG
0.74Apollon Limassol xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pafos 1.9 – 0.7 Apollon Limassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✗
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Pafos – last 3
DDW
1 Mar
@ Aris
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Anorthosis
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ AEL
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Apollon Limassol – last 4
DWDW
15 Mar
@ Anorthosis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs AEL
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ethnikos Achna
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pafos and Apollon Limassol.
What is the prediction for Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
On our numbers Pafos have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Apollon Limassol 14%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
Our predicted score is Pafos 1–0 Apollon Limassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethnikos Achna1