Ethnikos Achna travel to Alphamega Stadium in the 1. Division on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT) to face AEL.
Form guide
AEL's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Apollon Limassol 1–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ethnikos Achna's last 3: LLW Most recently they lost to AEK Larnaca 0–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for AEL and 1.2 for Ethnikos Achna. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: AEL 1–1 Ethnikos Achna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AEL47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Ethnikos Achna32%fair 3.14 · @3.20
2.66Expected goals
1.50AEL xG
1.16Ethnikos Achna xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: AEL 1.5 – 1.2 Ethnikos Achna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEL to win✗
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEL / FT AEL✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.57
–
Form
AEL – last 3
LWL
8 Mar
@ Apollon Limassol
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Enosis
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Pafos
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethnikos Achna – last 3
LLW
16 Mar
vs AEK Larnaca
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Apollon Limassol
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Apoel Nicosia
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Ethnikos Achna.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
On our numbers AEL have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ethnikos Achna 32%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Ethnikos Achna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
AEL vs Ethnikos Achna (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
