Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.48
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHamrun Spartans to win70% · @1.36
Double chanceHamrun Spartans or draw88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–014% · fair 7.39
Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions preview and prediction
The match
Naxxar Lions travel to face Hamrun Spartans in the Premier League on Sunday 19 April (16:30 WAT).
Form guide
Hamrun Spartans's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Gzira United 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Naxxar Lions's last 5: DDDDD Most recently they drew with Valletta FC 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.1 for Hamrun Spartans and 0.7 for Naxxar Lions. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Naxxar Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hamrun Spartans70%fair 1.43 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.33
Naxxar Lions12%fair 8.54 · @7.00
2.76Expected goals
2.07Hamrun Spartans xG
0.69Naxxar Lions xG
52%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–014%
1–013%
2–19%
3–09%
1–19%
3–16%
From our goals model: Hamrun Spartans 2.1 – 0.7 Naxxar Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hamrun Spartans to win
70%
1.43
1.36
Double chance
Hamrun Spartans or draw
88%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.50
1.48
Half-time result
Hamrun Spartans ahead at half-time
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hamrun Spartans / FT Hamrun Spartans
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0
14%
7.39
–
Form
Hamrun Spartans – last 6
LLWDDW
15 Apr
vs Gzira United
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Mosta
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Birkirkara
3–0
W
4 Mar
@ Valletta FC
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Floriana
1–1
D
23 Feb
vs Marsaxlokk
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Naxxar Lions – last 6
DDDDDW
15 Apr
vs Valletta FC
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Gzira United
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Marsaxlokk
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Zurrieq
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Birkirkara
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Tarxien Rainbows
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hamrun Spartans and Naxxar Lions.
What is the prediction for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
On our numbers Hamrun Spartans have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Naxxar Lions 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Our predicted score is Hamrun Spartans 2–0 Naxxar Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions?
Hamrun Spartans vs Naxxar Lions (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarxien Rainbows3