Value bet: Sliema Wanderers to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSliema Wanderers to win ✗64% · @1.67
Double chanceSliema Wanderers or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.33
Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Mosta take on Sliema Wanderers on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Gozo Stadium. Mosta are 9th with 15 points from 12 games, while Sliema Wanderers sit 3rd on 21 points.
Form guide
Mosta's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Zabbar St. Patrick 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sliema Wanderers's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Birkirkara 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sliema Wanderers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.8 for Mosta and 1.9 for Sliema Wanderers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 54%.
Value angle: Sliema Wanderers to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Mosta 0–2 Sliema Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mosta14%fair 6.97 · @4.60
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.55
Sliema Wanderers64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
2.61Expected goals
0.75Mosta xG
1.86Sliema Wanderers xG
54%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mosta 0.8 – 1.9 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sliema Wanderers to win✗
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Sliema Wanderers or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Sliema Wanderers ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sliema Wanderers / FT Sliema Wanderers✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.33
–
Form
Mosta – last 5
WWLLL
15 Apr
vs Zabbar St. Patrick
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Hamrun Spartans
2–1
W
3 Mar
@ Gzira United
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ Gzira United
0–1
L
18 Feb
vs Tarxien Rainbows
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Sliema Wanderers – last 4
WDWD
14 Apr
vs Birkirkara
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hibernians
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Valletta FC
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Birkirkara
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mosta and Sliema Wanderers.
What is the prediction for Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
On our numbers Mosta have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sliema Wanderers 64%.
How many goals will there be in Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Mosta 0–2 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?
Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Gozo Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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