Marsaxlokk host Gzira United in the Premier League on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT). Marsaxlokk are 2nd with 21 points from 12 games, while Gzira United sit 12th on 5 points. A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Marsaxlokk's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Floriana 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Gzira United's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Hamrun Spartans 1–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Gzira United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Marsaxlokk and 0.8 for Gzira United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Marsaxlokk 61%, draw 19%, Gzira United 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Marsaxlokk 1–0 Gzira United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marsaxlokk61%fair 1.64 · @1.67
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @3.55
Gzira United20%fair 5.02 · @4.60
2.60Expected goals
1.75Marsaxlokk xG
0.84Gzira United xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Marsaxlokk 1.8 – 0.8 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marsaxlokk to win✓
61%
1.64
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Marsaxlokk ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marsaxlokk / FT Marsaxlokk✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.66
–
Form
Marsaxlokk – last 5
LDLDW
15 Apr
vs Floriana
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Naxxar Lions
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ Hamrun Spartans
0–2
L
18 Feb
@ Floriana
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Hibernians
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Gzira United – last 6
WDWWWL
15 Apr
@ Hamrun Spartans
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Naxxar Lions
1–1
D
3 Mar
vs Mosta
2–1
W
25 Feb
vs Hibernians
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Mosta
1–0
W
17 Feb
@ Naxxar Lions
2–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marsaxlokk and Gzira United.
What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Marsaxlokk have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Gzira United 20%.
How many goals will there be in Marsaxlokk vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marsaxlokk vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Marsaxlokk 1–0 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Marsaxlokk vs Gzira United?
Marsaxlokk vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tarxien Rainbows3
Naxxar Lions0