Value bet: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win @ 2.55 – our chance 45% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win ✓45% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.03
Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe preview and prediction
The match
The Liga II sees Chindia Targoviste take on Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on Saturday 18 April, kicking off at 10:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Eugen Popescu.
Form guide
Chindia Targoviste's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Bihor Oradea 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with FC Voluntari 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.1 for Chindia Targoviste and 1.4 for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win at 2.55 – 45% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Chindia Targoviste 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chindia Targoviste33%fair 2.99 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe45%fair 2.24 · @2.55
2.52Expected goals
1.14Chindia Targoviste xG
1.38Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Chindia Targoviste 1.1 – 1.4 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe to win✓
45%
2.24
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe / FT Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
11%
9.03
–
Form
Chindia Targoviste – last 6
LLLLWW
10 Apr
vs Bihor Oradea
1–3
L
2 Apr
@ CSA Steaua Bucureşti
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ FC Voluntari
1–5
L
14 Mar
vs Metalul Buzău
2–3
L
9 Mar
@ ASA Targu Mures
2–0
W
1 Mar
vs Bihor Oradea
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe – last 6
DWWWDD
15 Apr
vs FC Voluntari
1–1
D
11 Apr
vs CSA Steaua Bucureşti
2–0
W
4 Apr
@ Corvinul Hunedoara
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Bihor Oradea
3–0
W
14 Mar
vs ASA Targu Mures
0–0
D
7 Mar
@ Bihor Oradea
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chindia Targoviste and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
What is the prediction for Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
On our numbers Chindia Targoviste have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 45%.
How many goals will there be in Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Our predicted score is Chindia Targoviste 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe?
Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Eugen Popescu.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite3
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ3
Politehnica Iasi0
Tunari2