Value bet: Politehnica Iasi to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetalul Buzău to win ✓42% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.31
Metalul Buzău vs Politehnica Iasi preview and prediction
The match
Metalul Buzău host Politehnica Iasi in the Liga II on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass.
Form guide
Metalul Buzău's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Muscelul Câmpulung Elite 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Politehnica Iasi's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to ASA Targu Mures 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Metalul Buzău arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Metalul Buzău and 1.2 for Politehnica Iasi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Politehnica Iasi to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Metalul Buzău 1–1 Politehnica Iasi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metalul Buzău42%fair 2.40 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Politehnica Iasi34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
2.52Expected goals
1.34Metalul Buzău xG
1.18Politehnica Iasi xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Metalul Buzău 1.3 – 1.2 Politehnica Iasi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metalul Buzău to win✓
42%
2.40
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metalul Buzău / FT Metalul Buzău✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.31
–
Form
Metalul Buzău – last 6
WWWWLL
10 Apr
vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
1–0
W
4 Apr
@ ASA Targu Mures
4–1
W
21 Mar
vs CS Dinamo București
4–2
W
14 Mar
@ Chindia Targoviste
3–2
W
8 Mar
vs Gloria Bistriţa
1–4
L
5 Mar
@ Dinamo Bucuresti
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Politehnica Iasi – last 6
LWWLWL
10 Apr
vs ASA Targu Mures
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ CS Dinamo București
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ CSA Steaua Bucureşti
1–3
L
7 Mar
vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
6–1
W
28 Feb
@ Dumbrăviţa
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metalul Buzău and Politehnica Iasi.
What is the prediction for Metalul Buzău vs Politehnica Iasi?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Metalul Buzău vs Politehnica Iasi?
On our numbers Metalul Buzău have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Politehnica Iasi 34%.
How many goals will there be in Metalul Buzău vs Politehnica Iasi?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metalul Buzău vs Politehnica Iasi?
Our predicted score is Metalul Buzău 1–1 Politehnica Iasi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Metalul Buzău vs Politehnica Iasi?
Metalul Buzău vs Politehnica Iasi (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Cornel Negoescu - artificial grass.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite3
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ3
Tunari2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1