Value bet: Gloria Bistriţa to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultASA Targu Mures to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.50
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa preview and prediction
The match
ASA Targu Mures host Gloria Bistriţa in the Liga II on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 09:00 (WAT) at Stadionul Trans-Sil. ASA Targu Mures are 17th with 11 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Gloria Bistriţa sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
ASA Targu Mures's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Politehnica Iasi 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gloria Bistriţa's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to CS Dinamo București 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for ASA Targu Mures and 1.3 for Gloria Bistriţa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Gloria Bistriţa to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ASA Targu Mures43%fair 2.30 · @2.15
Draw22%fair 4.58 · @3.25
Gloria Bistriţa35%fair 2.88 · @3.10
2.73Expected goals
1.46ASA Targu Mures xG
1.27Gloria Bistriţa xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: ASA Targu Mures 1.5 – 1.3 Gloria Bistriţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ASA Targu Mures to win✗
43%
2.30
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ASA Targu Mures / FT ASA Targu Mures✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.50
–
Form
ASA Targu Mures – last 6
WLWDLW
10 Apr
@ Politehnica Iasi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Metalul Buzău
1–4
L
21 Mar
vs Muscelul Câmpulung Elite
6–1
W
14 Mar
@ Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
0–0
D
9 Mar
vs Chindia Targoviste
0–2
L
28 Feb
vs Metalul Buzău
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gloria Bistriţa – last 6
LWLWWD
10 Apr
vs CS Dinamo București
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ
3–0
W
21 Mar
vs Slatina
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs FC Voluntari
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Metalul Buzău
4–1
W
4 Mar
@ Arges Pitesti
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ASA Targu Mures and Gloria Bistriţa.
What is the prediction for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
On our numbers ASA Targu Mures have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gloria Bistriţa 35%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our predicted score is ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Muscelul Câmpulung Elite3
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ3
Politehnica Iasi0
Tunari2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1