Value bet: Welayta Dicha to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Welayta Dicha take on Fasil Ketema on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT). Welayta Dicha are 3rd with 8 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Fasil Ketema sit 15th on 3 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Welayta Dicha's last 5: WDDWD Most recently they beat Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fasil Ketema's last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Awassa Kenema 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Welayta Dicha arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Welayta Dicha and 0.7 for Fasil Ketema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Welayta Dicha to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Welayta Dicha 0–0 Fasil Ketema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Welayta Dicha44%fair 2.28 · @2.50
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.45
Fasil Ketema29%fair 3.40 · @3.10
1.65Expected goals
0.95Welayta Dicha xG
0.70Fasil Ketema xG
46%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–018%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 1.0 – 0.7 Fasil Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welayta Dicha to win✗
44%
2.28
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.36
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.83
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.47
–
Form
Welayta Dicha – last 6
WDDWDW
9 Apr
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Mekelle Kenema
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Sidama Bunna
3–1
W
4 Mar
vs Awassa Kenema
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fasil Ketema – last 6
WDDDLL
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Suhul Shire
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Sidama Bunna
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welayta Dicha and Fasil Ketema.
What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Fasil Ketema 29%.
How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 0–0 Fasil Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
