Value bet: Hadiya Hosaena to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.14
Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Hadiya Hosaena take on Ethiopia Bunna on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Hadiya Hosaena are 13th with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hadiya Hosaena's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Arba Minch Kenema 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ethiopia Bunna's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with Sheger Ketema 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.1 for Ethiopia Bunna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Hadiya Hosaena to win at 3.75 – 29% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Hadiya Hosaena 0–1 Ethiopia Bunna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hadiya Hosaena29%fair 3.48 · @3.75
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @2.62
Ethiopia Bunna46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
1.94Expected goals
0.81Hadiya Hosaena xG
1.13Ethiopia Bunna xG
49%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hadiya Hosaena 0.8 – 1.1 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Bunna to win✗
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ethiopia Bunna / FT Ethiopia Bunna✗
25%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.14
–
Form
Hadiya Hosaena – last 6
WLLDDW
9 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Adama Kenema
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Bunna – last 4
DLWW
8 Apr
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs Bahardar
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Negelle Arsi
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hadiya Hosaena and Ethiopia Bunna.
What is the prediction for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Hadiya Hosaena have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ethiopia Bunna 46%.
How many goals will there be in Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Hadiya Hosaena 0–1 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
