Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.88 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.88Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVila Nova to win ✗64% · @1.88
Double chanceVila Nova or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.37
Vila Nova vs Confiança preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Vila Nova take on Confiança on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Form guide
Vila Nova's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Atletico Goianiense 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Vila Nova and 0.6 for Confiança. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Vila Nova 64%, draw 21%, Confiança 15%.
Safer route: Vila Nova or draw (85%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Vila Nova to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.88, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Vila Nova 1–0 Confiança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Vila Nova64%fair 1.55 · @1.88
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.10
Confiança15%fair 6.69 · @4.30
2.14Expected goals
1.58Vila Nova xG
0.56Confiança xG
47%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.6 – 0.6 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vila Nova to win✗
64%
1.55
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Vila Nova or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.37
–
Form
Vila Nova – last 3
LDW
22 Feb
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–2
L
16 Feb
vs Anápolis
2–2
D
13 Feb
@ Anápolis
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 2
WL
12 Mar
vs Tombense
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs AO Itabaiana
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vila Nova and Confiança.
What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Confiança?
Our pick is Vila Nova to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.88.
Who will win Vila Nova vs Confiança?
On our numbers Vila Nova have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Confiança 15%.
How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Confiança?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Vila Nova 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Vila Nova vs Confiança?
Vila Nova vs Confiança (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Londrina0
Operario-PR1
Portuguesa2
Paysandu3
Sport Recife1
Athletic Club3