Sport Recife vs Athletic Club preview and prediction
The match
Sport Recife host Athletic Club in the Copa Do Brasil on Wednesday 18 March, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Sport Recife and 0.7 for Athletic Club. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Recife 63%, draw 23%, Athletic Club 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Sport Recife 1–0 Athletic Club. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Recife63%fair 1.59 · @1.58
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.65
Athletic Club14%fair 7.25 · @5.50
2.45Expected goals
1.76Sport Recife xG
0.69Athletic Club xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.8 – 0.7 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
63%
1.59
1.58
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Sport Recife ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.86
–
Form
Sport Recife
No recent results on record.
Athletic Club – last 2
WD
11 Mar
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Tombense
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Athletic Club 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–0 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Londrina0
Operario-PR1
Portuguesa2
Paysandu3
Vila Nova0
Confiança0