Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultZakho to win ✗47% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.09
Zakho vs Al-Karma preview and prediction
The match
Al-Karma travel to face Zakho in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 18 March (21:15 WAT). Zakho are 15th with 13 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al-Karma sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zakho's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Gharraf 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Zakho and 0.9 for Al-Karma. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zakho 47%, draw 22%, Al-Karma 31%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Zakho 1–0 Al-Karma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zakho47%fair 2.15 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.10
Al-Karma31%fair 3.20 · @3.00
2.17Expected goals
1.24Zakho xG
0.93Al-Karma xG
45%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Zakho 1.2 – 0.9 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zakho to win✗
47%
2.15
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zakho / FT Zakho✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.09
–
Form
Zakho – last 4
WWWW
26 Feb
vs Gharraf
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Naft
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Sitra
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ Erbil
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 2
WL
12 Mar
vs Gharraf
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zakho and Al-Karma.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Zakho vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Zakho have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al-Karma 31%.
How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Zakho 1–0 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Zakho vs Al-Karma?
Zakho vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
