Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.89
Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala preview and prediction
The match
Diyala travel to face Al Minaa Basra in the Iraqi League on Wednesday 18 March (19:00 WAT). Al Minaa Basra are 9th with 17 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Diyala sit 12th on 14 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Al Minaa Basra's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Al Najaf 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Al Minaa Basra and 0.9 for Diyala. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Minaa Basra 49%, draw 22%, Diyala 29%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Diyala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Minaa Basra49%fair 2.03 · @2.00
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Diyala29%fair 3.50 · @3.40
2.20Expected goals
1.30Al Minaa Basra xG
0.89Diyala xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.3 – 0.9 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
49%
2.03
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.89
–
Form
Al Minaa Basra – last 3
WWL
6 Mar
@ Al Najaf
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Diyala – last 1
L
13 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Diyala.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Diyala 29%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
