Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventud to win ✗42% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Juventud vs Boston River preview and prediction
The match
Juventud host Boston River in the Primera División Apertura on Sunday 29 March, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Parque Artigas. Juventud are 8th with 18 points from 13 games (in the top half), while Boston River sit 11th on 15 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Juventud's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Cerro 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Boston River's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Penarol 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Boston River arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Juventud and 1.0 for Boston River. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Juventud 42%, draw 24%, Boston River 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Juventud 1–1 Boston River. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventud42%fair 2.39 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
Boston River34%fair 2.96 · @3.10
2.14Expected goals
1.15Juventud xG
0.99Boston River xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventud 1.1 – 1.0 Boston River expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventud to win✗
42%
2.39
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventud / FT Juventud✗
22%
4.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Juventud – last 6
LLLLDL
25 Mar
@ Cerro
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Albion FC
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ Danubio
1–4
L
13 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
6 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
3 Mar
@ Deportivo Maldonado
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Boston River – last 5
LLWDL
26 Mar
vs Penarol
0–2
L
10 Mar
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs Racing Montevideo
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Danubio
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventud and Boston River.
What is the prediction for Juventud vs Boston River?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Juventud vs Boston River?
On our numbers Juventud have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Boston River 34%.
How many goals will there be in Juventud vs Boston River?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventud vs Boston River?
Our predicted score is Juventud 1–1 Boston River, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Juventud vs Boston River?
Juventud vs Boston River (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Artigas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
