Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.23 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
1
Value bet: Liverpool Montevideo to win @ 1.72 – our chance 67% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultLiverpool Montevideo to win ✗67% · @1.72
Double chanceLiverpool Montevideo or draw ✓88% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.31
Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol preview and prediction
The match
Central Espanol travel to Estadio Belvedere in the Primera División Apertura on Tuesday 24 March (21:00 WAT) to face Liverpool Montevideo. Liverpool Montevideo are 1st with 30 points from 13 games (top of the table), while Central Espanol sit 16th on 8 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Atletico Torque 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Central Espanol's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Cerro Largo 1–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Liverpool Montevideo and 0.5 for Central Espanol. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Liverpool Montevideo 67%, draw 21%, Central Espanol 12%.
Safer route: Liverpool Montevideo or draw (88%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.68.
Value angle: Liverpool Montevideo to win at 1.72 – 67% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.23. Predicted score: Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Central Espanol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Liverpool Montevideo67%fair 1.50 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.40
Central Espanol12%fair 8.31 · @4.50
2.18Expected goals
1.66Liverpool Montevideo xG
0.51Central Espanol xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Liverpool Montevideo 1.7 – 0.5 Central Espanol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✗
67%
1.50
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Liverpool Montevideo or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.68
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.68
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.23
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.31
–
Form
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
DWWDDL
17 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Independiente Medellin
0–0
D
20 Feb
@ Cerro
1–1
D
18 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Central Espanol – last 5
LDLWW
15 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Wanderers
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Juventud
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Penarol
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Liverpool Montevideo and Central Espanol.
What is the prediction for Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol?
On our numbers Liverpool Montevideo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Central Espanol 12%.
How many goals will there be in Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol?
Our predicted score is Liverpool Montevideo 1–0 Central Espanol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol?
Liverpool Montevideo vs Central Espanol (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Belvedere.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
