Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Torque to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.12
Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Maldonado host Atletico Torque in the Primera División Apertura on Tuesday 24 March, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT) at Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel. Deportivo Maldonado are 4th with 22 points from 13 games (in the top four), while Atletico Torque sit 2nd on 28 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Deportivo Maldonado's last 4: LDWL Most recently they lost to Cerro Largo 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atletico Torque's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Torque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Maldonado and 1.3 for Atletico Torque. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.88 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Atletico Torque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maldonado35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.20
Atletico Torque41%fair 2.41 · @2.60
2.48Expected goals
1.17Deportivo Maldonado xG
1.31Atletico Torque xG
58%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.2 – 1.3 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Torque to win✗
41%
2.41
2.60 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.88 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Torque / FT Atletico Torque✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.12
–
Form
Deportivo Maldonado – last 4
LDWL
20 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Penarol
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 6
DWWWWD
17 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
27 Feb
vs Defensor Sporting
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Wanderers
4–0
W
17 Feb
vs Juventud
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maldonado and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atletico Torque 41%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Atletico Torque (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
