Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSantiago Morning to win ✗47% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning preview and prediction
The match
Santiago Morning travel to face Lota Schwager in the Segunda División on Sunday 21 June (21:00 WAT). Lota Schwager are 10th with 13 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Santiago Morning sit 13th on 10 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lota Schwager's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Linares Unido 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Santiago Morning's last 3: LDD Most recently they lost to General Velásquez 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Lota Schwager arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Lota Schwager and 1.1 for Santiago Morning. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lota Schwager 31%, draw 22%, Santiago Morning 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Lota Schwager 0–1 Santiago Morning. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lota Schwager31%fair 3.22 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Santiago Morning47%fair 2.15 · @2.25
1.99Expected goals
0.85Lota Schwager xG
1.14Santiago Morning xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lota Schwager 0.8 – 1.1 Santiago Morning expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santiago Morning to win✗
47%
2.15
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.87
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santiago Morning / FT Santiago Morning✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.41
–
Form
Lota Schwager – last 3
WDL
14 Jun
@ Linares Unido
1–0
W
6 Jun
@ Deportes Rengo
1–1
D
30 May
vs Linares Unido
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Santiago Morning – last 3
LDD
7 Jun
vs General Velásquez
0–1
L
30 May
vs Provincial Osorno
0–0
D
24 May
@ Colchagua
1–1
D
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lota Schwager and Santiago Morning.
What is the prediction for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
On our numbers Lota Schwager have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santiago Morning 47%.
How many goals will there be in Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Our predicted score is Lota Schwager 0–1 Santiago Morning, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning?
Lota Schwager vs Santiago Morning (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.