San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Argentino Monte Maíz to win @ 3.40 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martín Mendoza to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗59% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.42
San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz preview and prediction
The match
San Martín Mendoza host Argentino Monte Maíz in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin. San Martín Mendoza are 23rd with 19 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Argentino Monte Maíz sit 17th on 23 points (in the top half).
Form guide
San Martín Mendoza's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Fundacion Amigos 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Argentino Monte Maíz's last 5: DDDDW Most recently they drew with Atenas 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Martín Mendoza arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Argentino Monte Maíz 4–1 San Martín Mendoza.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for San Martín Mendoza and 0.9 for Argentino Monte Maíz. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martín Mendoza 43%, draw 24%, Argentino Monte Maíz 34%.
Value angle: Argentino Monte Maíz to win at 3.40 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martín Mendoza43%fair 2.33 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @2.88
Argentino Monte Maíz34%fair 2.98 · @3.40
1.89Expected goals
1.03San Martín Mendoza xG
0.86Argentino Monte Maíz xG
41%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: San Martín Mendoza 1.0 – 0.9 Argentino Monte Maíz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
On our numbers San Martín Mendoza have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Argentino Monte Maíz 34%.
How many goals will there be in San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
Our predicted score is San Martín Mendoza 1–0 Argentino Monte Maíz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz?
San Martín Mendoza vs Argentino Monte Maíz (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Jose de San Martin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
