Double chanceOlimpo Bahia Blanca or draw ✓92% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓70% · fair 1.43
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗26% · fair 3.80
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Olimpo Bahia Blanca take on Santamarina on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti. Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st with 31 points from 16 games (top of the table), while Santamarina sit 36th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Olimpo Bahia Blanca's last 5: WDDDD Most recently they beat Germinal de Rawson 1–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Santamarina's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Alvarado 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Santamarina 0–0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.4 for Olimpo Bahia Blanca and 0.3 for Santamarina. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Santamarina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Olimpo Bahia Blanca68%fair 1.47 · @1.50
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.30
Santamarina8%fair 12.04 · @6.50
1.68Expected goals
1.40Olimpo Bahia Blanca xG
0.27Santamarina xG
30%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–026%
0–019%
2–018%
3–09%
1–17%
0–15%
From our goals model: Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1.4 – 0.3 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
On our numbers Olimpo Bahia Blanca have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santamarina 8%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 30% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
Our predicted score is Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina?
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Roberto Natalio Carminatti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
