Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Guillermo Brown to win @ 1.67 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGuillermo Brown to win ✓64% · @1.67
Double chanceGuillermo Brown or draw ✓90% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.51
Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson preview and prediction
The match
Germinal de Rawson travel to Estadio Raul Conti in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 26 July (19:00 WAT) to face Guillermo Brown. Guillermo Brown are 34th with 17 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Germinal de Rawson sit 30th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Guillermo Brown's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Villa Mitre 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Germinal de Rawson's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Olimpo Bahia Blanca 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Germinal de Rawson 1–1 Guillermo Brown.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for Guillermo Brown and 0.4 for Germinal de Rawson. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guillermo Brown 64%, draw 26%, Germinal de Rawson 10%.
Value angle: Guillermo Brown to win at 1.67 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Guillermo Brown 1–0 Germinal de Rawson. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guillermo Brown64%fair 1.57 · @1.67
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Germinal de Rawson10%fair 9.53 · @5.00
1.89Expected goals
1.47Guillermo Brown xG
0.42Germinal de Rawson xG
38%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–19%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Guillermo Brown 1.5 – 0.4 Germinal de Rawson expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
On our numbers Guillermo Brown have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Germinal de Rawson 10%.
How many goals will there be in Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 38% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
Our predicted score is Guillermo Brown 1–0 Germinal de Rawson, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson?
Guillermo Brown vs Germinal de Rawson (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Raul Conti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
