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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17 De Octubre

San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre prediction & analysis

66%
Footrivo pick

San Martin Formosa to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓61% · fair 1.64
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.66

San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre preview and prediction

The match

Bartolomé Mitre travel to 17 De Octubre in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 26 July (19:30 WAT) to face San Martin Formosa. San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Bartolomé Mitre sit 9th on 26 points (in the top half).

Form guide

San Martin Formosa's last 5: LDLWL Most recently they lost to Sarmiento de La Banda 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Bartolomé Mitre's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Defensores de Vilelas 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Bartolomé Mitre 2–0 San Martin Formosa.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for San Martin Formosa and 0.6 for Bartolomé Mitre. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 39%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was San Martin Formosa to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

San Martin Formosa66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.25
Bartolomé Mitre12%fair 8.29 · @5.25
2.27Expected goals
1.71San Martin Formosa xG
0.56Bartolomé Mitre xG
39%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–015%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%

From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.7 – 0.6 Bartolomé Mitre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓66%1.521.62 ▲
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Half-time resultSan Martin Formosa ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa ✗41%2.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18%5.66–

Form

San Martin Formosa – last 6

LDLWLW
12 Jul@ Sarmiento de La Banda0–2L
5 Julvs Juventud Antoniana0–0D
28 Jun@ Sol de América1–2L
21 Junvs Sarmiento Resistencia3–0W
14 Jun@ Boca Unidos1–3L
7 Junvs Tucuman Central3–2W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Bartolomé Mitre – last 6

WLDDWL
12 Julvs Defensores de Vilelas1–0W
28 Jun@ Sarmiento de La Banda0–1L
20 Junvs Juventud Antoniana0–0D
14 Jun@ Sol de América0–0D
6 Junvs Sarmiento Resistencia2–0W
31 May@ Boca Unidos1–2L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Bartolomé Mitre v San Martin Formosa2–0
San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?

Our pick is San Martin Formosa to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?

On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Bartolomé Mitre 12%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?

Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre?

San Martin Formosa vs Bartolomé Mitre (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.