Value bet: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win @ 2.70 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✗45% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.89
Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata preview and prediction
The match
Santamarina host Kimberley Mar del Plata in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin. Santamarina are 36th with 13 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Kimberley Mar del Plata sit 8th on 26 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Santamarina's last 4: LLDD Most recently they lost to Sol de Mayo 2–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kimberley Mar del Plata's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Germinal de Rawson 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kimberley Mar del Plata arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–0 Santamarina.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.8 for Santamarina and 1.0 for Kimberley Mar del Plata. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santamarina 31%, draw 24%, Kimberley Mar del Plata 45%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.53.
Value angle: Kimberley Mar del Plata to win at 2.70 – 45% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Santamarina 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santamarina31%fair 3.23 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.75
Kimberley Mar del Plata45%fair 2.23 · @2.70
1.80Expected goals
0.77Santamarina xG
1.03Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–017%
1–113%
1–013%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Santamarina 0.8 – 1.0 Kimberley Mar del Plata expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kimberley Mar del Plata 45%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 0–1 Kimberley Mar del Plata, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata?
Santamarina vs Kimberley Mar del Plata (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
