Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon prediction & analysis
67%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Argentino Monte Maíz to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentino Monte Maíz to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceArgentino Monte Maíz or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon preview and prediction
The match
The Torneo Federal A sees Argentino Monte Maíz take on Deportivo Rincon on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT) at Estadio Modesto Marrone. Argentino Monte Maíz are 17th with 23 points from 16 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Rincon sit 22nd on 19 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Argentino Monte Maíz's last 4: LWLD Most recently they lost to Costa Brava 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Deportivo Rincon's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Costa Brava 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Rincon arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Deportivo Rincon 2–0 Argentino Monte Maíz.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for Argentino Monte Maíz and 0.6 for Deportivo Rincon. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Safer route: Argentino Monte Maíz or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Argentino Monte Maíz to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Argentino Monte Maíz 1–0 Deportivo Rincon. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentino Monte Maíz58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.90
Deportivo Rincon18%fair 5.43 · @4.33
1.93Expected goals
1.35Argentino Monte Maíz xG
0.58Deportivo Rincon xG
45%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–18%
2–18%
From our goals model: Argentino Monte Maíz 1.3 – 0.6 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentino Monte Maíz to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Argentino Monte Maíz or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentino Monte Maíz / FT Argentino Monte Maíz✗
What is the prediction for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Argentino Monte Maíz have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Rincon 18%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Argentino Monte Maíz 1–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon?
Argentino Monte Maíz vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Modesto Marrone.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
