Double chanceGerminal de Rawson or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗24% · fair 4.22
Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo preview and prediction
The match
Circulo Deportivo travel to Estadio El Fortin in the Torneo Federal A on Sunday 7 June (19:00 WAT) to face Germinal de Rawson. Germinal de Rawson are 30th with 18 points from 16 games (in the bottom half), while Circulo Deportivo sit 37th on 13 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Germinal de Rawson's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Circulo Deportivo's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game.
Germinal de Rawson arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.4 for Germinal de Rawson and 0.4 for Circulo Deportivo. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Germinal de Rawson 65%, draw 20%, Circulo Deportivo 15%.
Both teams to score: no (58%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Circulo Deportivo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Germinal de Rawson65%fair 1.53 · @1.60
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.20
Circulo Deportivo15%fair 6.84 · @5.75
1.74Expected goals
1.35Germinal de Rawson xG
0.39Circulo Deportivo xG
42%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
0–017%
2–016%
1–19%
3–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.4 – 0.4 Circulo Deportivo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✗
65%
1.53
1.60
Double chance
Germinal de Rawson or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.74
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.14
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Germinal de Rawson / FT Germinal de Rawson✗
37%
2.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
24%
4.22
–
Form
Germinal de Rawson – last 4
LWDD
30 May
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
24 May
vs Sol de Mayo
1–0
W
17 May
vs Guillermo Brown
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Circulo Deportivo – last 3
LLL
17 May
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
0–1
L
27 Apr
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Villa Mitre
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Circulo Deportivo.
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Circulo Deportivo 15%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 1–0 Circulo Deportivo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo?
Germinal de Rawson vs Circulo Deportivo (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
