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Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17 De Octubre

San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central prediction & analysis

77%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓64% · @1.38
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.23

San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central preview and prediction

The match

The Torneo Federal A sees San Martin Formosa take on Tucuman Central on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 20:30 (WAT) at 17 De Octubre. San Martin Formosa are 4th with 30 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Tucuman Central sit 32nd on 17 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

San Martin Formosa's last 4: WLLL Most recently they beat Defensores de Vilelas 3–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Tucuman Central's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Defensores de Vilelas 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Tucuman Central 2–0 San Martin Formosa.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for San Martin Formosa and 0.6 for Tucuman Central. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: San Martin Formosa 1–0 Tucuman Central. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

San Martin Formosa64%fair 1.57 · @1.38
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.80
Tucuman Central12%fair 8.11 · @8.00
2.39Expected goals
1.76San Martin Formosa xG
0.64Tucuman Central xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: San Martin Formosa 1.8 – 0.6 Tucuman Central expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSan Martin Formosa to win ✓64%1.571.38
Double chanceSan Martin Formosa or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.871.44
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.451.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.311.25
Half-time resultSan Martin Formosa ahead at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT San Martin Formosa / FT San Martin Formosa ✗40%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.23–

Form

San Martin Formosa – last 4

WLLL
25 May@ Defensores de Vilelas3–2W
17 May@ Bartolomé Mitre0–2L
5 Apr@ Tucuman Central0–2L
29 Mar@ Racing Club0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Tucuman Central – last 5

WLLLW
31 Mayvs Defensores de Vilelas2–0W
25 May@ Bartolomé Mitre0–1L
17 May@ Sarmiento de La Banda0–1L
19 Apr@ Boca Unidos1–3L
5 Aprvs San Martin Formosa2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Tucuman Central v San Martin Formosa2–0
San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

On our numbers San Martin Formosa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tucuman Central 12%.

How many goals will there be in San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

Our predicted score is San Martin Formosa 1–0 Tucuman Central, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central?

San Martin Formosa vs Tucuman Central (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at 17 De Octubre.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.