Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 57% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✗59% · @1.88
Double chanceJuventude or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.80
Tuna Luso vs Juventude preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Tuna Luso take on Juventude on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estádio Francisco Vasques.
Form guide
Tuna Luso's last 3: WLL Most recently they beat Tocantinópolis 4–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.3 for Tuna Luso and 2.4 for Juventude. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 57% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.30, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tuna Luso 1–2 Juventude. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tuna Luso19%fair 5.30 · @4.20
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.15
Juventude59%fair 1.70 · @1.88
3.69Expected goals
1.33Tuna Luso xG
2.36Juventude xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%
From our goals model: Tuna Luso 1.3 – 2.4 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
59%
1.70
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Juventude or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.42 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.20
Half-time result
Juventude ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.80
–
Form
Tuna Luso – last 3
WLL
4 Mar
vs Tocantinópolis
4–1
W
20 Feb
@ Paysandu
1–5
L
15 Feb
@ Bragantino PA
0–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 2
WD
6 Mar
vs Guaporé
5–0
W
15 Feb
@ Gremio
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tuna Luso and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
On our numbers Tuna Luso have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Juventude 59%.
How many goals will there be in Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Tuna Luso 1–2 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tuna Luso vs Juventude?
Tuna Luso vs Juventude (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Francisco Vasques.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mixto0
Novorizontino3
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Anápolis1