Value bet: Novorizontino to win @ 1.82 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovorizontino to win ✓64% · @1.82
Double chanceNovorizontino or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.14
Mixto vs Novorizontino preview and prediction
The match
Novorizontino travel to Arena Pantanal in the Copa Do Brasil on Friday 13 March (00:30 WAT) to face Mixto.
Form guide
Novorizontino's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Palmeiras 1–2 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Mixto and 2.0 for Novorizontino. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Novorizontino to win at 1.82 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.40, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mixto 0–2 Novorizontino. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mixto15%fair 6.51 · @4.40
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.20
Novorizontino64%fair 1.55 · @1.82
2.89Expected goals
0.87Mixto xG
2.02Novorizontino xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Mixto 0.9 – 2.0 Novorizontino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novorizontino to win✓
64%
1.55
1.82 ▲
Double chance
Novorizontino or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.18
Half-time result
Novorizontino ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novorizontino / FT Novorizontino✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.14
–
Form
Mixto – last 2
DL
23 Feb
@ Ec Vitoria W
2–2
D
13 Feb
vs Flamengo W
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Novorizontino – last 6
LLWWWL
9 Mar
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
5 Mar
@ Palmeiras
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Corinthians
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Nacional AM
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Santos
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ RB Bragantino
0–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mixto and Novorizontino.
What is the prediction for Mixto vs Novorizontino?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Mixto vs Novorizontino?
On our numbers Mixto have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Novorizontino 64%.
How many goals will there be in Mixto vs Novorizontino?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mixto vs Novorizontino?
Our predicted score is Mixto 0–2 Novorizontino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Mixto vs Novorizontino?
Mixto vs Novorizontino (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pantanal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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