Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.05 – our chance 58% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +77%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓58% · @3.05
Double chanceBarra or draw ✓79% · @1.44
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.04
Barra vs America Mineiro preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Barra take on America Mineiro on Friday 13 March, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Arena Barra FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Barra and 1.3 for America Mineiro. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barra 21%, draw 58%, America Mineiro 21%.
Safer route: Barra or draw (79%) at 1.44.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Draw at 3.05 – 58% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barra or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barra 1–1 America Mineiro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barra21%fair 4.71 · @2.58
Draw58%fair 1.72 · @3.05
America Mineiro21%fair 4.83 · @2.68
2.64Expected goals
1.32Barra xG
1.31America Mineiro xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Barra 1.3 – 1.3 America Mineiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
58%
1.72
3.05 ▲
Double chance
Barra or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.04
–
Form
Barra – last 1
D
15 Feb
@ Camboriú
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
America Mineiro – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico-MG
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and America Mineiro.
What is the prediction for Barra vs America Mineiro?
Our pick is Barra or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Barra vs America Mineiro?
On our numbers Barra have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 58% and America Mineiro 21%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs America Mineiro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs America Mineiro?
Our predicted score is Barra 1–1 America Mineiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Barra vs America Mineiro?
Barra vs America Mineiro (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Friday 13 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Barra FC.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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