Value bet: Skanste to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSkanste to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Skanste vs Smiltene preview and prediction
The match
Smiltene travel to face Skanste in the 1. Liga on Saturday 24 October (13:00 WAT). Skanste are 10th with 26 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Smiltene sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Skanste's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Riga Mariners 3–4 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Smiltene's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Riga FC II 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Smiltene arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Smiltene 2–4 Skanste.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.6 for Skanste and 1.4 for Smiltene. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 74% and both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Skanste 63%, draw 17%, Smiltene 20%.
Value angle: Skanste to win at 1.75 – 63% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Skanste 2–1 Smiltene. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Skanste63%fair 1.57 · @1.75
Draw17%fair 6.04 · @4.33
Smiltene20%fair 5.01 · @3.20
3.93Expected goals
2.55Skanste xG
1.38Smiltene xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Skanste 2.6 – 1.4 Smiltene expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Skanste vs Smiltene?
On our numbers Skanste have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Smiltene 20%.
How many goals will there be in Skanste vs Smiltene?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skanste vs Smiltene?
Our predicted score is Skanste 2–1 Smiltene, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Skanste vs Smiltene?
Skanste vs Smiltene (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
