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1. Liga · Latvia
2–0
FT

Metta LU vs Leevon PPK prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMetta LU to win ✓66% · @1.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.72
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43

Metta LU vs Leevon PPK preview and prediction

The match

The 1. Liga sees Metta LU take on Leevon PPK on Saturday 24 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT). Metta LU are 1st with 69 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Leevon PPK sit 4th on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Metta LU's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat Super Nova 2 3–1 away. They are scoring freely – 4.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Leevon PPK's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with JDFS Alberts 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Leevon PPK 1–3 Metta LU.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.7 for Metta LU and 1.3 for Leevon PPK. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Metta LU 2–1 Leevon PPK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Metta LU66%fair 1.50 · @1.20
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @6.50
Leevon PPK18%fair 5.65 · @8.50
3.97Expected goals
2.65Metta LU xG
1.32Leevon PPK xG
58%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Metta LU 2.7 – 1.3 Leevon PPK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMetta LU to win ✓66%1.501.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.07
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.72–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗74%1.341.28
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Half-time resultMetta LU ahead at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Metta LU / FT Metta LU ✓44%2.27–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.43–

Form

Metta LU – last 6

WWWWDW
17 Oct@ Super Nova 23–1W
10 Octvs Riga Mariners4–0W
19 Sep@ JDFS Alberts3–1W
12 Sepvs JFK Ventspils7–0W
5 Sep@ Valmiera BSS2–2D
29 Aug@ Smiltene6–0W
4.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Leevon PPK – last 6

DWWDWW
18 Octvs JDFS Alberts2–2D
10 Oct@ JFK Ventspils4–0W
19 Sepvs Rīgas FS II6–3W
13 Sep@ Riga FC II1–1D
6 Sep@ Tukums II3–0W
29 Augvs Super Nova 22–1W
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Jun 2026Leevon PPK v Metta LU1–3
Metta LU vs Leevon PPK head-to-head page →

1. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metta / LU262231+8569
2Valmiera / BSS261862+4160
3Riga Mariners261853+3259
4Leevon / PPK261664+1954
5JDFS Alberts261457+1847
6Riga FC II261079+137
7Mārupe2610412-634
8Super Nova 2267811-629
9Smiltene267613-2027
10Skanste268216-626
11Rīgas FS II267316-2624
12Tukums II265516-4020
13JFK Ventspils264715-2119
14Rēzekne FA261322-716

More 1. Liga predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

On our numbers Metta LU have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Leevon PPK 18%.

How many goals will there be in Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

Our predicted score is Metta LU 2–1 Leevon PPK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Metta LU vs Leevon PPK?

Metta LU vs Leevon PPK (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.