Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultJDFS Alberts to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · fair 1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts preview and prediction
The match
JDFS Alberts travel to face Mārupe in the 1. Liga on Saturday 29 August (17:00 WAT). Mārupe are 7th with 34 points from 26 games (in the top half), while JDFS Alberts sit 5th on 47 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mārupe's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Valmiera BSS 1–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.5 conceded.
JDFS Alberts's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Rīgas FS II 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
JDFS Alberts arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.1 for Mārupe and 2.2 for JDFS Alberts. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mārupe 22%, draw 13%, JDFS Alberts 66%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was JDFS Alberts to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mārupe 1–2 JDFS Alberts. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mārupe22%fair 4.60 · @3.90
Draw13%fair 7.92 · @4.10
JDFS Alberts66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
3.26Expected goals
1.09Mārupe xG
2.17JDFS Alberts xG
52%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Mārupe 1.1 – 2.2 JDFS Alberts expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
JDFS Alberts to win✓
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.14
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
JDFS Alberts ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT JDFS Alberts / FT JDFS Alberts✓
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.15
–
Form
Mārupe – last 6
LWLLWL
22 Aug
@ Valmiera BSS
1–4
L
15 Aug
vs Super Nova 2
2–1
W
8 Aug
vs Leevon PPK
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Skanste
2–4
L
25 Jul
@ Rēzekne FA
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Metta LU
0–4
L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
JDFS Alberts – last 6
WWDDWL
22 Aug
@ Rīgas FS II
3–1
W
8 Aug
vs Riga FC II
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Tukums II
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Super Nova 2
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ JFK Ventspils
3–1
W
4 Jul
vs Riga Mariners
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mārupe and JDFS Alberts.
What is the prediction for Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
Our pick is JDFS Alberts to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
On our numbers Mārupe have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 13% and JDFS Alberts 66%.
How many goals will there be in Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
Our predicted score is Mārupe 1–2 JDFS Alberts, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts?
Mārupe vs JDFS Alberts (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
