Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.24
Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Liga sees Riga Mariners take on Rīgas FS II on Saturday 29 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). Riga Mariners are 3rd with 59 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Rīgas FS II sit 11th on 24 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Riga Mariners's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Riga FC II 3–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Rīgas FS II's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to JDFS Alberts 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 3.8 conceded.
Riga Mariners arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.7 for Riga Mariners and 1.0 for Rīgas FS II. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riga Mariners 73%, draw 16%, Rīgas FS II 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Riga Mariners 2–1 Rīgas FS II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riga Mariners73%fair 1.37 · @1.12
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @8.50
Rīgas FS II11%fair 8.80 · @13.00
3.79Expected goals
2.75Riga Mariners xG
1.04Rīgas FS II xG
53%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Riga Mariners 2.7 – 1.0 Rīgas FS II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Riga Mariners to win✓
73%
1.37
1.12
Double chance
Riga Mariners or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Riga Mariners ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Riga Mariners / FT Riga Mariners✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.24
–
Form
Riga Mariners – last 6
WWWDLD
24 Aug
@ Riga FC II
3–1
W
9 Aug
vs Tukums II
4–2
W
31 Jul
@ Super Nova 2
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs JFK Ventspils
1–1
D
18 Jul
@ Leevon PPK
1–2
L
11 Jul
vs BFC Daugavpils
3–3
D
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Rīgas FS II – last 6
LLLWLD
22 Aug
vs JDFS Alberts
1–3
L
8 Aug
@ Metta LU
1–12
L
1 Aug
@ Valmiera BSS
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Smiltene
5–3
W
20 Jul
@ Tukums II
0–2
L
5 Jul
vs Super Nova 2
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riga Mariners and Rīgas FS II.
What is the prediction for Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?
On our numbers Riga Mariners have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Rīgas FS II 11%.
How many goals will there be in Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?
Our predicted score is Riga Mariners 2–1 Rīgas FS II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II?
Riga Mariners vs Rīgas FS II (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
