Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLeevon PPK to win ✓64% · @1.45
Double chanceLeevon PPK or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗8% · fair 13.03
Leevon PPK vs Super Nova 2 preview and prediction
The match
Leevon PPK host Super Nova 2 in the 1. Liga on Saturday 29 August, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT). Leevon PPK are 4th with 54 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Super Nova 2 sit 8th on 29 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Leevon PPK's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Smiltene 4–2 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Super Nova 2's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with Skanste 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Leevon PPK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Leevon PPK and 0.9 for Super Nova 2. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Leevon PPK 64%, draw 23%, Super Nova 2 14%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Leevon PPK to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Leevon PPK 2–0 Super Nova 2. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Leevon PPK64%fair 1.57 · @1.45
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @4.33
Super Nova 214%fair 7.35 · @5.00
3.03Expected goals
2.12Leevon PPK xG
0.91Super Nova 2 xG
49%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Leevon PPK 2.1 – 0.9 Super Nova 2 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leevon PPK to win✓
64%
1.57
1.45
Double chance
Leevon PPK or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Half-time result
Leevon PPK ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leevon PPK / FT Leevon PPK✓
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
8%
13.03
–
Form
Leevon PPK – last 6
WWWWWL
23 Aug
vs Smiltene
4–2
W
8 Aug
@ Mārupe
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Rēzekne FA
2–1
W
25 Jul
vs Skanste
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Riga Mariners
2–1
W
10 Jul
vs Riga
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Super Nova 2 – last 6
DLWLDL
23 Aug
vs Skanste
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Mārupe
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ JFK Ventspils
2–0
W
31 Jul
vs Riga Mariners
0–3
L
25 Jul
@ JDFS Alberts
1–1
D
19 Jul
@ Riga FC II
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leevon PPK and Super Nova 2.
What is the prediction for Leevon PPK vs Super Nova 2?
Our pick is Leevon PPK to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Leevon PPK vs Super Nova 2?
On our numbers Leevon PPK have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Super Nova 2 14%.
How many goals will there be in Leevon PPK vs Super Nova 2?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leevon PPK vs Super Nova 2?
Our predicted score is Leevon PPK 2–0 Super Nova 2, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Leevon PPK vs Super Nova 2?
Leevon PPK vs Super Nova 2 (1. Liga) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
