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Tasmania NPL · Australia

Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights prediction & analysis

92%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.09 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
–Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGlenorchy Knights to win ✓70% · @1.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · fair 1.71
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.88

Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights preview and prediction

The match

Launceston United host Glenorchy Knights in the Tasmania NPL on Saturday 23 May, with kick-off at 07:45 (WAT).

Form guide

Launceston United's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Kingborough Lions 1–7 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 4.0 conceded.

Glenorchy Knights's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Devonport City 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Glenorchy Knights arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.3 for Launceston United and 2.8 for Glenorchy Knights. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Launceston United 1–2 Glenorchy Knights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Launceston United16%fair 6.06 · @10.00
Draw14%fair 7.14 · @8.50
Glenorchy Knights70%fair 1.44 · @1.14
4.11Expected goals
1.31Launceston United xG
2.80Glenorchy Knights xG
58%Both score
79%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–28%
1–38%
0–26%
1–16%
0–36%
2–26%

From our goals model: Launceston United 1.3 – 2.8 Glenorchy Knights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGlenorchy Knights to win ✓70%1.441.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.05
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.71–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79%1.271.17
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓59%1.70–
Half-time resultGlenorchy Knights ahead at half-time ✗52%1.91–
Half-time / full-timeHT Glenorchy Knights / FT Glenorchy Knights ✗47%2.15–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.88–

Form

Launceston United – last 6

LLLLLD
9 Mayvs Kingborough Lions1–7L
2 Mayvs South East Utd.4–6L
18 Apr@ Riverside0–2L
10 Aprvs Launceston City1–7L
28 Marvs Clarence Zebras0–1L
22 Mar@ Ulverstone1–1D
1.2Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Glenorchy Knights – last 6

LWLLLW
9 May@ Devonport City1–2L
2 Mayvs Ulverstone2–1W
18 Apr@ Kingborough Lions1–3L
11 Apr@ Clarence Zebras0–2L
27 Marvs South Hobart1–2L
21 Marvs South East Utd.3–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Launceston United and Glenorchy Knights.

Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights head-to-head page →

More Tasmania NPL predictions

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.

Who will win Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights?

On our numbers Launceston United have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Glenorchy Knights 70%.

How many goals will there be in Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights?

We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights?

Our predicted score is Launceston United 1–2 Glenorchy Knights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.

When is Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights?

Launceston United vs Glenorchy Knights (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 07:45 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.