Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Kingborough Lions to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKingborough Lions to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions preview and prediction
The match
The Tasmania NPL sees Clarence Zebras take on Kingborough Lions on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 05:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Clarence Zebras's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Ulverstone 4–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kingborough Lions's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Launceston United 7–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.3 for Clarence Zebras and 2.4 for Kingborough Lions. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 55% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Kingborough Lions to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Clarence Zebras 1–2 Kingborough Lions. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Clarence Zebras22%fair 4.46 · @3.60
Draw12%fair 8.06 · @4.20
Kingborough Lions65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
3.68Expected goals
1.28Clarence Zebras xG
2.40Kingborough Lions xG
55%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
0–16%
2–26%
From our goals model: Clarence Zebras 1.3 – 2.4 Kingborough Lions expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kingborough Lions to win✓
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Kingborough Lions ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kingborough Lions / FT Kingborough Lions✓
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.76
–
Form
Clarence Zebras – last 6
WWLWWL
10 May
@ Ulverstone
4–0
W
2 May
vs Riverside
4–0
W
18 Apr
@ Launceston City
0–2
L
11 Apr
vs Glenorchy Knights
2–0
W
28 Mar
@ Launceston United
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ South Hobart
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kingborough Lions – last 6
WWWWLL
9 May
@ Launceston United
7–1
W
2 May
vs Launceston City
2–1
W
18 Apr
vs Glenorchy Knights
3–1
W
11 Apr
vs Ulverstone
5–1
W
28 Mar
@ Devonport City
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ South Hobart
1–5
L
3.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Clarence Zebras and Kingborough Lions.
What is the prediction for Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?
Our pick is Kingborough Lions to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?
On our numbers Clarence Zebras have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Kingborough Lions 65%.
How many goals will there be in Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?
Our predicted score is Clarence Zebras 1–2 Kingborough Lions, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions?
Clarence Zebras vs Kingborough Lions (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia
Riverside1
South Hobart1
South East Utd.2
Ulverstone0
Launceston United0
Glenorchy Knights4