Double chanceSouth Hobart or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.18
Riverside vs South Hobart preview and prediction
The match
The Tasmania NPL sees Riverside take on South Hobart on Saturday 23 May, kicking off at 05:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Riverside's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat South East Utd. 5–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
South Hobart's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Launceston City 8–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 4.3 per game.
South Hobart arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 1.1 for Riverside and 3.1 for South Hobart. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score in 53% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Riverside 9%, draw 16%, South Hobart 76%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 92% chance. Predicted score: Riverside 1–3 South Hobart. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Riverside9%fair 11.23 · @17.00
Draw16%fair 6.45 · @9.50
South Hobart76%fair 1.32 · @1.10
4.14Expected goals
1.08Riverside xG
3.06South Hobart xG
53%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–38%
1–28%
0–38%
0–27%
1–46%
0–46%
From our goals model: Riverside 1.1 – 3.1 South Hobart expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Hobart to win✗
76%
1.32
1.10
Double chance
South Hobart or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
South Hobart ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Hobart / FT South Hobart✗
54%
1.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
12.18
–
Form
Riverside – last 6
WLWLWW
9 May
vs South East Utd.
5–0
W
2 May
@ Clarence Zebras
0–4
L
18 Apr
vs Launceston United
2–0
W
11 Apr
vs Devonport City
0–3
L
29 Mar
@ Ulverstone
3–2
W
20 Mar
@ Launceston City
3–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
South Hobart – last 6
WWWWWW
9 May
@ Launceston City
8–1
W
2 May
vs Devonport City
3–2
W
18 Apr
@ Ulverstone
6–0
W
27 Mar
@ Glenorchy Knights
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Kingborough Lions
5–1
W
15 Mar
vs Clarence Zebras
2–0
W
4.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Riverside and South Hobart.
What is the prediction for Riverside vs South Hobart?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 92% chance.
Who will win Riverside vs South Hobart?
On our numbers Riverside have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 16% and South Hobart 76%.
How many goals will there be in Riverside vs South Hobart?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Riverside vs South Hobart?
Our predicted score is Riverside 1–3 South Hobart, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Riverside vs South Hobart?
Riverside vs South Hobart (Tasmania NPL) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 05:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tasmania NPL · Australia
Clarence Zebras0
Kingborough Lions4
South East Utd.2
Ulverstone0
Launceston United0
Glenorchy Knights4