Lithuania vs Liechtenstein prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.06
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Lithuania 0.9 – 0.5 Liechtenstein expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Lithuania hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 31% for Liechtenstein.
Lithuania have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.7 per game. Liechtenstein have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. Lithuania come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.4 goals (0.9 for Lithuania, 0.5 for Liechtenstein). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 83% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (25%), 1–0 (23%), 0–1 (12%).
In their last 1 meeting, Lithuania have won 1, Liechtenstein have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 2.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 95% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Lithuania to win | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 89% | 1.12 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw | 31% | 3.27 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 23% | 4.37 | – |
Form
Lithuania – last 6
| 4 Oct | @ Azerbaijan | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Sep | vs Andorra | 3–0 | W |
| 27 Sep | vs Azerbaijan | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | @ Liechtenstein | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | vs Georgia | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Moldova | 2–0 | W |
Liechtenstein – last 6
| 5 Oct | vs Gibraltar | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Oct | @ Azerbaijan | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Sep | @ Malta | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | vs Lithuania | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Jun | vs Cyprus | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Jun | @ Andorra | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
| 24 Sep 2026 | Liechtenstein v Lithuania | 0–2 |
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azerbaijan | 3 | +1 | 5 |
| 2 |  Lithuania | 3 | +1 | 4 |
| 3 |  Liechtenstein | 2 | -2 | 1 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
Germany
Netherlands
Greece
Serbia
Switzerland
Scotland
FYR Macedonia
SloveniaFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 95% chance.
Who will win Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
On our numbers Lithuania have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Liechtenstein 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
We expect about 1.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 17% likely and both teams score 33% of the time on our projection.
When is Lithuania vs Liechtenstein?
Lithuania vs Liechtenstein (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Monday 16 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.