Double chanceGuangxi Hengchen or draw ✓90% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.16
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Guangxi Hengchen take on Dongguan United on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 12:30 (WAT) at Guangxi Sports Center. Guangxi Hengchen are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Dongguan United sit 16th on 16 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 31 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Guangxi Hengchen's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Nantong Zhiyun 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dongguan United's last 5: DDDWL Most recently they drew with Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Guangxi Hengchen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Guangxi Hengchen and 0.6 for Dongguan United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Guangxi Hengchen 67%, draw 22%, Dongguan United 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Guangxi Hengchen 1–0 Dongguan United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guangxi Hengchen67%fair 1.49 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.65
Dongguan United10%fair 9.54 · @6.25
2.43Expected goals
1.84Guangxi Hengchen xG
0.59Dongguan United xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Guangxi Hengchen 1.8 – 0.6 Dongguan United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Guangxi Hengchen to win✗
67%
1.49
1.50
Double chance
Guangxi Hengchen or draw✓
90%
1.12
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Guangxi Hengchen ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Guangxi Hengchen / FT Guangxi Hengchen✗
43%
2.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.16
–
Form
Guangxi Hengchen – last 6
DWDWWW
23 May
vs Nantong Zhiyun
0–0
D
17 May
@ Hubei Chufeng Heli
4–0
W
10 May
@ Yanbian Longding
1–1
D
2 May
@ Hebei Kungfu
3–0
W
4 Apr
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–0
W
20 Mar
vs Ningbo Professional
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Dongguan United – last 6
DDDWLW
23 May
vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1
D
10 May
vs Suzhou Dongwu
1–1
D
2 May
@ Dalian Huayi
2–2
D
25 Apr
@ Shenzhen Juniors
3–0
W
18 Apr
vs Changchun Yatai
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Hebei Kungfu
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guangxi Hengchen and Dongguan United.
What is the prediction for Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
On our numbers Guangxi Hengchen have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Dongguan United 10%.
How many goals will there be in Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
Our predicted score is Guangxi Hengchen 1–0 Dongguan United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United?
Guangxi Hengchen vs Dongguan United (League One) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Guangxi Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
