Value bet: Changchun Yatai to win @ 3.35 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYanbian Longding to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.74
Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai preview and prediction
The match
The League One sees Yanbian Longding take on Changchun Yatai on Saturday 30 May, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium. Yanbian Longding are 6th with 46 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Changchun Yatai sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Yanbian Longding's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Guangzhou E-Power 4–3 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Changchun Yatai's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Shenzhen Juniors 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Yanbian Longding and 1.1 for Changchun Yatai. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Changchun Yatai to win at 3.35 – 32% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Yanbian Longding 1–1 Changchun Yatai. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yanbian Longding46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Changchun Yatai32%fair 3.12 · @3.35
2.50Expected goals
1.40Yanbian Longding xG
1.10Changchun Yatai xG
57%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Yanbian Longding 1.4 – 1.1 Changchun Yatai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yanbian Longding to win✗
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yanbian Longding / FT Yanbian Longding✗
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.74
–
Form
Yanbian Longding – last 6
WLDDDD
24 May
@ Guangzhou E-Power
4–3
W
16 May
@ Shanghai Second
0–1
L
10 May
vs Guangxi Hengchen
1–1
D
2 May
vs Wuxi Wugou
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Shaanxi Union
0–0
D
18 Apr
vs Ningbo Professional
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Changchun Yatai – last 6
LWLLWW
24 May
vs Shenzhen Juniors
0–4
L
9 May
@ Heilongjiang Lava Spring
3–2
W
3 May
@ Ningbo Professional
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Guangzhou E-Power
1–2
L
18 Apr
@ Dongguan United
3–1
W
11 Apr
vs Shaanxi Union
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yanbian Longding and Changchun Yatai.
What is the prediction for Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai?
On our numbers Yanbian Longding have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Changchun Yatai 32%.
How many goals will there be in Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai?
Our predicted score is Yanbian Longding 1–1 Changchun Yatai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai?
Yanbian Longding vs Changchun Yatai (League One) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
